Seismic Forecast

🔴 Sublunar | 🔵 Antipodal | █ Tidal Stress Belt (TSB)
Forecast Details
Geographic Risk Stratification

How SeismoAlert Works?

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  How SeismoAlert Works — Understanding Earthquake Risk Before It Strikes SeismoAlert is designed to identify periods of increased seismic risk by combining multiple geophysical signals into one clear, easy-to-understand system. Here’s how it works: 1. Tidal Stress Analysis The gravitational pull of the Moon and Sun creates stress within Earth’s crust. During New Moon and Full Moon phases, this stress can peak — potentially triggering earthquakes in already strained fault zones. 2. Planetary Alignment Monitoring SeismoAlert tracks key alignments involving Earth, Moon, and Sun. These alignments can amplify tidal forces, increasing the likelihood of seismic activation in sensitive regions. 3. Real-Time Earthquake Data Integration We continuously analyze global seismic activity using data from organizations like the USGS. Patterns such as foreshocks and seismic clustering are closely monitored. 4. Space Weather Signals Solar activity (like geomagnetic storms and high Kp index values) ...
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March 1812 Caracas Erathquake | Venezuela

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1. Status: INSIDE TSW

TSW Window: 1812-03-24T00:20:21Z to 1812-04-01T00:20:21Z

Syzygy Time: 1812-03-28T00:20:21Z

Perigee Time: N/A

Sublunar Latitude: -0.5051374317°

Sublunar Longitude: -2.8668805815°

TSB Lower Latitude: -15.5051°

TSB Upper Latitude: 14.4949°

Radial Stress

Syzygy: 6.155500013 kPa

Perigee: 0 kPa

Coulomb Stress

Syzygy: 3.6933000078 kPa

Perigee: 0 kPa

Target Faults

Tonga-Kermadec / Peru-Chile Trench / Australia, Indonesian Arc / Papua New Guinea, Philippine Plate / Mexico / Caribbean/ Red Sea Rift

Alignments

Perigee In Tsw: No

Perihelion In Tsw: No

Mars In Tsw: No

Venus In Tsw: No

Super Tsw: No

Countries in High Seismic Zone

  • Indonesia
  • Fiji
  • Mexico
  • Solomon Islands
  • Tiwan
  • Australia
  • Brazil
  • Papua New Guinea
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam
  • Peru
  • South Africa
  • Vanuatu
  • Philippines
  • Tonga
  • Chile
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Ecuador
  • Sudan

On March 26, 1812, at approximately 4:07 PM local time, a massive M 7.7-8.0 earthquake leveled Caracas (Venezuela). An estimated 15,000–20,000 people perished as a result, in addition to incalculable material damage.

  • The Syzygy Factor: It was a Full Moon (Syzygy) day. This created a high-stress window (TSW) where the tidal pull was rapidly increasing toward its maximum.
  • The Sublunar Position: The Sublunar Latitude (-0.5°) and Longitude (-2.8°) placed the Moon almost directly over the Equator. This created a symmetrical tidal bulge affecting both the Northern and Southern hemispheres, targeting the Caribbean and the Peru-Chile Trench (as noted in our “Target Faults”). Our calculated Tidal Stress Belt (TSB) covered the whole affected region, including Caracas (10° N). This band perfectly captures the southern Caribbean and the most vulnerable sections of the Mexican southern coast, explaining why these regions often fail in tandem during these windows.

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